About the Blog

I shall post videos, graphs, news stories, and other material. We shall use some of this material in class, and you may review the rest at your convenience. I encourage you to use the blog in these ways:

--To post questions or comments about the readings before we discuss them in class;
--To follow up on class discussions with additional comments or questions.
--To post relevant news items or videos.

There are only two major limitations: no coarse language, and no derogatory comments about people at the Claremont Colleges. This blog is on the open Internet, so post nothing that you would not want a potential employer to see.

Tuesday, May 3, 2016

Trump Pivots to the General Election

With polls showing Trump leading by a heavy margin in Indiana, Trump has begun to focus more efforts on the general election contest. At recent rallies in both Carmel and in Indianapolis, he gave speeches articulating his case against Hillary Clinton and even made an effort to appeal to women voters. According to an article in Politico, Trump was quoted saying, “Women are looking for security in our country and they know I’m going to do the best job . . . When they called [Hillary Clinton] on Benghazi she was sleeping, folks.”

Even as Trump begins to focus more on attacking Hillary Clinton, an article in the Associated Press highlights how unprepared Trump might be for a general election fight. According to the article:

The New York businessman has collected little information about tens of millions of voters he needs to turn out in the fall. He's sent few people to battleground states compared with likely Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, accumulated little if any research on her, and taken no steps to build a network capable of raising the roughly $1 billion needed to run a modern-day general election campaign.


The Trump campaign claims it will utilize the resources offered by the Republican establishment, like the RNC, even as he continues to criticize the party establishment on a daily basis. The RNC has made a concerted effort to expand its footprint after the GOP loss in 2012 by setting up battlegrounds in key states such as Florida and Ohio. According to RNC chief strategist Sean Spicer, "We are so far ahead of where we were . . . Whether it's Trump or someone else, that's going to be a huge advantage."

Things You Cannot Make Up

WSJ - Indiana Poll



Here is the source

Monday, May 2, 2016

Jolly Update

Rep. David Jolly — who went on "60 Minutes" last week to tout his bill that bans lawmakers from raising money — attended a fundraiser in his honor Friday, a spokeswoman confirmed.

Tickets to the fundraiser, which was held at the private Capitol Hill Club, cost anywhere from $500 to $2,500 to help Jolly (R-Fla.), who is running for the Senate.

President Bartlet comments:

 

Thursday, April 28, 2016

A Superdelegate Speaks

The 2016 Election

The Tug-of-War Metaphor

Stuff That Matters a Lot:
Stuff That Matters Less:
The Autopsy: Things that matter at the margin, and in the long term
1. Messaging
2. Demographic Partners
3. Campaign Mechanics
4. Friends and Allies (Third Party Groups)
5. Fundraising
6. Campaign Finance
7. Primary Process
PROBLEM:  PARTY ORGANIZATION DOES NOT CONTROL PARTY IN GOVERNMENT, PARTISAN OUTSIDE GROUPS, OR PARTY IN THE ELECTORATE!  IF YOU REMEMBER NOTHING ELSE FROM THIS COURSE, REMEMBER THIS POINT!

The tug-of-war metaphor assumes roughly equal effort on both sides.  It also assumes that the candidates are qualified and broadly acceptable.  But the metaphor may break down with Trump:

Why Trump?




Griffin's Presentation

https://drive.google.com/drive/my-drive

https://docs.google.com/a/students.claremontmckenna.edu/presentation/d/1fWyGODKv-JvjbFx1Be_wqDDnxDT3V9t0VUrCeKU7_tk/edit?usp=sharing