Tuesday, February 25, 2020

American PIE: Party in the Electorate Part 1

Party registration is not the same as party identification
As of 2019, 28 states and the District of Columbia allow registered voters to indicate a party preference when registering to vote; the following 20 states (mostly in the South and the Midwest) do not provide for party preferences in voter registration: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Ohio, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, Washington and Wisconsin.
Only Wyoming has a majority of registered voters identifying themselves as Republicans; two states have a majority of registered voters identifying themselves as Democrats: Maryland and Kentucky (since 2010, Louisiana, Pennsylvania and West Virginia have all seen their Democratic-majority registrations slip to just Democratic-pluralities).


VAP/VEP and turnout

Turnout demographics

Party change over time: another look at the cinematic map

Party affiliation 1932-2014

Recent trends and demographics

The party bases:





The political preferences of U.S. religious groups


Party identification and issues


The Trump Effect



Putin

About a third of U.S. Republicans have confidence in Putin, up significantly since 2015


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