For a week from today, read Carson and Jacobson, ch. 1-2.
Also be ready to make a very brief explanation of your candidate strategy or prediction.
Weekly reflection: what moment do you most remember from the 2024 presidential campaign and why did it matter?
McGovern-Fraser. See Hershey 228-230.
Daley excluded in 1972
Party regulars did not have a deep commitment to the old system
A screwup in Iowa 2020 effectively led to the demise of the caucus system.
Importance of early primaries (Hershey 232-233)
Between 1992 and 2020 the Democratic candidate who won the Black vote in the primaries went on to win the nomination. In 2020, Biden lost in Iowa and New Hampshire, and he looked like a goner. But then he came back to life in the South Carolina primary, where Black voters make up a majority of the Democratic primary electorate. Watch this town hall, starting at six minutes in. So explain: How did Biden connect with Black voters?
What happened with Biden? Why did he endorse Kamala Harris?
Conventions. In recent decades, nomination campaigns have effectively ended before the convention. But conventions can still matter, especially when speakers say things that alienate large blocs of votes. In 1964, Republican nominee Barry Goldwater confronted charges that he was extremist. In 1992, conservative Pat Buchanan, who had challenged Bush 41 for the nomination, said some things about Democrats. Explain: How do you think these comments landed with the general electorate?
The 2024 conventions were large rallies
The fundamentals: bread and butter, war and peace
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