PIE II: the Complexity of Identity and Turnout

For Monday, Hershey, ch. 9,10.

Writeup:  tentative forecast or nomination strategy

The reciprocal influence of PIE, PO, PIG

Religion

Evangelicalism 

• As a religious tradition
• Evangelical as a political label and not religious

Complexity of ethnic identity

• Complexity of Asian American identity
• Complexity of Hispanic identity (in the Census, an overlay category)

Complexity of having multiple identities:  religion, education, ethnicity, sexual orientation

Complexity of "Realignment"

• Coalitions evolve
• Issues change, and parties switch sides.  Do "liberal" and "conservative" have stable meanings?

Turnout and Voting Mechanics

• VAP/VEP and turnout
• Turnout demographics
• Voter identification
• Same-day registration
• Early and Mail Voting