General Elections for President: Fundamentals

Obama Legacy Report

Beck & Heidemann chapter in Green

Campaign Finance

Romney and Obama:  The Polls

The Vice Presidential Candidate?

• Little general effect
• Little home-state effect

Ads?  47%? Debates?  Sandy?

Fundamentals I:  The Economy (p. 178)



What about 2016?  Ruh Roh!

Fundamentals II: Job Approval

Fundamentals III:  Partisanship and Polarization



Electoral College

No Republican has carried these states since Bush 41 in 1988:

California               55

Connecticut           07

Delaware                03

Illinois                    20

Maine                     04

Maryland               10

Michigan               16

New Jersey            14

Pennsylvania        20

Vermont                 03

TOTAL                 152     

            

• There is no blue wall